By Robert Laurie ——Bio and Archives--November 27, 2014
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“In my view, Hillary will be the Democratic nominee. And I think Hillary is every bit as radical as Obama is. I don’t think Bill is. I think Bill is genuinely more moderate. But I think Hillary is. So how does a Republican win in 2016? Einstein famously said the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result. If you look at the field in 2016, it’s going to be crowded field, there could be a dozen, there could be fifteen. There’s one bucket that, for lack of a better word, I’ll call the ‘moderate establishment’ bucket. It’ll be some combination of Chris Christie, Jeb Bush and Mitt Romney. "My guess is two of the three will run. And my view is whoever’s in that bucket will raise tons of money. A lot of donors will rush to write them checks. And yet if the nominee comes from that bucket, the same voters who stayed home in 2008 and 2012 will stay home again and Hillary’s the winner.”Cruz is 100% dead-nuts right on this. By 2016, the country will be even sicker of far-left politics, but Hillary will do everything possible to dodge that label. The media will help her, and she'll run on a platform of "remember the good old days?" Unless there's a strong counter to that, the low information voters are likely to overlook her radical intentions in favor of "the way we think things were before Bush and Obama." Christie might - and I stress might - fare a tiny bit better than his middle-of-the-road counterparts, but he's still a probable loser. Whoever becomes the eventual nomniee will need to secure conservatives first, then try to play for the middle. If the GOP runs a "squishy" candidate like Romney or Bush in the general election, it will be over before it starts. The base will stay home and the party will get slaughtered. I wish I had the confidence to believe that isn't going to happen.
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