WhatFinger


Percentages.

NASA: There's only a 38% chance we were 100% right when we said that 2014 was the hottest year ever.



It's common knowledge that we live in the environmental end times. The seas will soon boil away, the fish will die, and humanity will doubtless be forced into some kind of post-apocalyptic subsistence where we dwell in underground tunnels like worms. After all, back in 1988 environmentalists like Ted Danson were warning us that the oceans would be "dead" in ten years. We're well past that deadline, so something big bound to happen soon.

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This weekend, as Dan discussed, we learned the horrible truth. NASA announced that 2014 was the "hottest year on record." Obviously, we've reached the point of no return. After all, this is NASA. It's science. ...And the scientific method involves proof, so it never lies. But, apparently, it does leave things out. As the DailyMail is reporting, NASA admits that there's only a 38% chance that they are 100% correct.
The NASA climate scientists who claimed 2014 set a new record for global warmth last night admitted they were only 38 per cent sure this was true. In a press release on Friday, NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) claimed its analysis of world temperatures showed ‘2014 was the warmest year on record’. The claim made headlines around the world, but yesterday it emerged that GISS’s analysis – based on readings from more than 3,000 measuring stations worldwide – is subject to a margin of error. NASA admits this means it is far from certain that 2014 set a record at all. Yet the NASA press release failed to mention this, as well as the fact that the alleged ‘record’ amounted to an increase over 2010, the previous ‘warmest year’, of just two-hundredths of a degree – or 0.02C. The margin of error is said by scientists to be approximately 0.1C – several times as much.
So, NASA's initial press release should have said "Hey, it's not much warmer than 2010, if it's warmer at all, and it probably isn't, because our margin of error is substantially bigger than the increase we're discussing. Oh, and by the way, global warming pretty much leveled off in the 90's, and our models are now way, way, off." Still, it's good to know that - much like the legendary Sex Panther cologne for men - '38% of the time, NASA climate scientists work every time.'


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