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The Investment Outlook for the Canadian and US Oil and Gas Sectors

Absent policy change in Canada, investors will continue to favour U.S. oil and gas industry



VANCOUVER—Due in part to Canada’s unfavourable business environment—which includes higher taxes, more regulation and lack of pipeline capacity—oil and gas investors will likely continue to divert investments from Canada to the United States, finds a new study released today by the Fraser Institute, an independent, non-partisan Canadian public policy think-tank. “Financial capital is mobile, so policymakers in Canada must understand that government policies have helped facilitate the flight of oil and gas investment from Canada to the U.S.,” said Steven Globerman, professor emeritus at Western Washington University, resident scholar at the Fraser Institute and co-author of The Investment Outlook for the Canadian and US Oil and Gas Sectors.

Absent policy change in Canada, investors will continue to favour U.S.-based investments in oil and gas

To understand the future prospects of North America’s oil and gas industry, the study compared “investor assessments” (a good indicator of profitability) of Canadian and U.S. oil and gas companies from 2011 to 2021. The study found that over this 11-year period (despite a slight improvement in investment trends in Canada in 2021 due primarily to the 2020 U.S. election results, not any policy change in Canada) oil and gas investors increasingly favoured the U.S. And absent policy change in Canada, investors will continue to favour U.S.-based investments in oil and gas. “Because the oil and gas industry is a key driver of Canada’s economic growth and a major employer for Canadians, governments across the country should be very concerned about the industry’s future profitability,” Globerman said. Media Contact: • Steven Globerman, Resident Scholar, Fraser Institute To arrange media interviews or for more information, please contact: Mark Hasiuk, Fraser Institute mark.hasiuk@fraserinstitute.org

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Fraser Institute -- Bio and Archives

The Fraser Institute is an independent Canadian public policy research and educational organization with offices in Vancouver, Calgary, Toronto, and Montreal and ties to a global network of 86 think-tanks. Its mission is to measure, study, and communicate the impact of competitive markets and government intervention on the welfare of individuals. To protect the Institute’s independence, it does not accept grants from governments or contracts for research. Visit fraserinstitute.org.

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