Ray Dalio just released 500 years of data showing exactly how empires collapse
The "Big Debt Cycle" has nine stages….We're currently in Stage 6
By News on the Net -- Logan Weaver—— Bio and Archives--February 16, 2026
News in Brief—News Headlines | Comments | Back To Full Article
His conclusion? America is in Stage 6 of 9.
The dangerous stage.
Here's what his math actually says about where we're headed:
Dalio studied every major empire collapse since 1500.
Dutch. British. American.
Ray Dalio just released 500 years of data showing exactly how empires collapse.
— Logan Weaver (@LogWeaver)February 16, 2026
His conclusion? America is in Stage 6 of 9.
The dangerous stage.
Here's what his math actually says about where we're headed:
Dalio studied every major empire collapse since 1500.
Dutch. British.… pic.twitter.com/tYDzM5WoFt
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