Climate Deaths Surprises

C continues to be a challenge, but climate related deaths have fallen over 99 percent since 1920. ⁽¹⁾

Bjorn Lomborg reported that climate related deaths averaged 485,000 a year in the 1920s. Between 2010 and 2019 there was an average of 18,362 annual climate related deaths. In 2020, the death rate dropped to 14,893. ⁽²⁾

So, adjusted for population we went from 255.3 deaths per million in 1920 to 1.9 per million in 2020, a 99.25 percent decrease. In other words, for every climate related death in 2020, we had 133.6 deaths in 1920.

Cold deaths vastly outweigh heat deaths

Lomborg notes: "This is clearly the opposite of what you hear, but that is because we're often just being told of one disaster after another--telling us how many events are happening, The number of reported events are increasing, but that is mainly due to better reporting, lower thresholds, and better accessibility (the CNN effect)."

Cold deaths vastly outweigh heat deaths. This is common knowledge in the academic literature. The Lancet finds each year, almost 600,000 people die globally from heat but 4.5 million from cold. However, reports focus on heat deaths because it fits the climate narrative. ⁽³⁾

Another Lancet article reported cold weather is far more deadly than excessive heat. In fact, for every person in the world who dies due to some heat related cause, 9 die due to excessive cold. ⁽⁴⁾

An earlier large study on heat and cold deaths examined more than 74 million deaths from 384 locations in 13 countries from cold Sweden to hot Thailand. Researchers reported that cold weather killed 20 times as many people as hot weather. ⁽⁵⁾

Usually when the media discusses climate change, there is a focus on the increased number of deaths that may be caused by heat waves and natural catastrophes. What isn't told are all these data on cold deaths.

References

1. Gale Pooley, ''The collapse of climate related deaths," principia-scientific.org, September 23, 2022
2. "Climate related deaths on precipitous fall: researcher," tvpworld, February 1, 2023
3. Qi Zhao et al., "Global, regional, and national burden of mortality with non-optimal ambient temperatures fro 2000 to 2019: a three stage modeling study," The Lancet, July 2021
4. David Strom, Lancet: more cold death than heat death everywhere" climatedepot.com, December 30, 2022
5. Antonio Gasparrini et al., "Mortality risk attributable to high and low ambient temperature: a multi-country observational study," The Lancet, 386, 369, July 2015

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