New Election Model Gives Josh Hawley Edge in Missouri

A new predictive ballot model of registered voters in Missouri created by a conservative polling group shows Republican Josh Hawley with a significant edge over incumbent Democratic senator Claire McCaskill in their closely watched November showdown. The model, created by WPA Intelligence and shared with the Washington Free Beacon, was based on predictive data available for each of Missouri's 4,101,062 registered voters and found Hawley to have a six-point advantage over McCaskill, 53 to 47 percent. The model uses available consumer data, voter history, and demographic information to assign each voter with a predictive score. -- More...