In the report, Petek criticized the legislature for its need to address issues effectively.
“Budget problems” for the last three years, before admitting the 2026-2027 issue is now “larger than anticipated.”
“Under our revenue and spending estimates, the Legislature faces an almost $18 billion budget problem in 2026-27. This is about $5 billion larger than the budget problem anticipated by the administration in June.”
During last year's fiscal cycle, the administration projected that California would face a nearly $13 billion budget deficit for the 2026-2027 fiscal year. However, recent updates have shown that this estimate was significantly off.
Over the past three budgetary cycles, California has encountered substantial deficits, $27 billion in 2023-2024, $55 billion in 2024-2025, and $15 billion in 2025-2026.
However, the $18 billion deficit isn’t the only concern for the state. Petek noted that the administration now estimates that California will continue to experience structural deficits ranging from $15 billion to $25 billion through 2028 and 2029.
According to the Sacramento Bee, during a press conference after the report's release, Petek informed reporters that the state will face:
“A somewhat sizable deficit problem in (fiscal year) 2026-27 and worse problems after that. This is happening in the context of an economy that’s not in recession, when the stock market has been going up and when revenues have been growing.”
The state budget has grown significantly under Newsom, rising from $208 billion during the 2019-2020 fiscal period to $332 billion in 2024-2025, then slightly decreasing to $322 billion in the last cycle.