The Pause in Global Warming

There has been no rise in global temperatures from July 2015 to March 2023.

This fact-based claim draws on satellite readings from the University of Alabama in Huntsville that measures temperatures in the troposphere, a much more accurate method of keeping score than the shoddy records produced by ground based weather stations. ⁽¹⁾

How many times have we heard that we were either approaching our last chance to save ourselves from global warming or that our opportunity to do what is 'right' had already passed us by?

Sudden increase in temperatures in the last couple of years was caused by record strong natural El Nino phenomenon rather than global warming

While the international hotheads are screeching about impending doom, level headed observers point to data that clearly show a pause in warming, which has been mild and as likely natural as it is human caused has now reached eight years and nine months.

"The entire dataset for 44 years and four months since December 1978," says Christopher Monckton, "shows a less than terrifying long run warming rate equivalent to 1.3 degrees/century, of which 0.3 degrees has already occurred, leaving a single degree "to go (on the current trend) until 2100." ⁽¹⁾

An earlier report from the Global Warming Policy Foundation also counters media hype over recent warm global temperatures, showing that almost all of the sudden increase in temperatures in the last couple of years was caused by record strong natural El Nino phenomenon rather than global warming. ⁽²⁾

According to Emeritus Professor Ole Humlum of the University of Oslo, "It is clear that temperatures in the troposphere are continuing to diverge from surface temperatures. In other words, they are warming more slowly than global warming theory says they should. The contrast with theory is even more marked in the stratosphere where temperatures have barely changed for 25 years. We still have a lot to learn about the climate."

A paper by climate scientist Benjamin Santer, adds to the ever expanding volume of hiatus literature embracing popular arguments advanced by skeptics, and even uses satellite temperature datasets to show reduced atmospheric warming.

More importantly, the paper discusses the failure of climate models to predict or replicate the slowdown in early 21st century global temperatures, which was another oft-derided skeptic observation. ⁽³⁾

Of course, the warming racket will either ignore the pause or attack the messenger. The cycle of fear mongering will go on.

References

1. "Satellite data shows no global warming for eight years, nine months," principia-sicenific.com, April 13, 2023
2. Anthony Watts, "New report reveals a 23 year long pause in stratospheric temperature," wattsupwiththat.com, March 27, 2018
3. Benjamin D. Santer et al, "Causes of differences in model and satellite tropospheric warming rates," Nature Geoscience, 10, 478, 2017

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