Trump seems set to see Netanyahu as Israel's next Prime Minister

1. The voter turnout of 67.97% in April 2019 will be further reduced.
2. Netanyahu's Likud party will increase its proportion of the vote--26.46% in April 2019--up from 23.4% in 2015 --to an even higher figure.
   
   Likud increased its numbers from 985408 in 2015 to 1140370 in April 2019--whilst Yisrael Beiteinu's numbers decreased from 214906 in 2015 to 173004 in April 2019. Blue and White contested the April elections for the first time.
   
   Likud voters, buoyed by the post-April statements detailed in 1, 2 and 3 below, will most likely vote again, whilst Blue and White and Yisrael Beiteinu voters, unhappy with their leaders' post-April statements detailed in 4 and 5 below, are more likely to stay home.

1. Ambassador Friedman indicated that some degree of annexation of the West Bank would be legitimate.

   "Under certain circumstances, I think Israel has the right to retain some, but unlikely all, of the West Bank,"

   More new voters--conscious of their own families' personal safety--would vote Right--than those opposing any annexation--who would vote Left.
2. Trump endorsed Netanyahu as a "a great guy"
3. Netanyahu, speaking in Elkana, located in Samaria, pledged:

   "With God's help we will extend Jewish sovereignty to all the settlements as part of the (biblical) Land of Israel, as part of the State of Israel. "This is our land..."We will build another Elkana and another Elkana and another Elkana. We will not uproot anyone here,"

   In a first-ever public address from Hebron by a sitting Israeli prime minister - Netanyahu vowed:

   "To cite the late Menachem Begin and the late Yigal Allon: 'Hebron will not be devoid of Jews.' It will not be Judenrein [ed: Jew free]. And I say on the 90th anniversary of the disturbances [ed: when 67 Jews were murdered]--we are not foreigners in Hebron, we will stay here forever."

   These patriotic declarations should attract more Right-supportive than Left-opposing new voters.

4. Lieberman promised to amend the law to make ultra-orthodox youths do compulsory military training.
   
   United Torah Judaism MK Yakov Asher has declared this the best possible get-out-the-vote campaign the ultra-Orthodox parties could wish for.
   
   New ultra-orthodox voters turning out to spare children in their ultra-orthodox community undertaking this military obligation would likely exceed new secular voters who think this is a reform long overdue.
5. Trump's judgment has been challenged by Gantz stating he would have admitted US Congresswomen Omar and Tlaib into Israel.
   
   Gantz's decision would not resonate with a majority of new voters--who would consider any disagreement with Trump could jeopardize Trump's amazing support of Israel during his Presidency.

David Singer is an Australian Lawyer, a Foundation Member of the International Analyst Network and Convenor of Jordan is Palestine International—an organization calling for sovereignty of the West Bank and Gaza to be allocated between Israel and Jordan as the two successor States to the Mandate for Palestine. Previous articles written by him can be found at: jordanispalestine.blogspot.com