Knifing Netanyahu could sink release of Trump peace plan

Trump does not want to join former Presidents Reagan, Carter, Clinton, Bush and Obama – whose well-intentioned proposals to resolve the long-running Arab-Jewish conflict have ended up in the garbage bin of history.

Trump has carefully crafted the drip release of his deal over the last two years— possibly in close consultation with Netanyahu—to give Israel the best hope it has ever had of finally reaching agreement with purposeful Arab negotiators.  Trump’s failure so far to find such Arab negotiators has been a major factor in delaying the deal’s release.

The Palestine Liberation Organisation (PLO) has made it abundantly clear that it will not negotiate with Israel on Trump’s deal under any circumstances. 

Egypt and Jordan—the only two Arab states to have signed peace treaties with Israel in 1979 and 1994—and the last two Arab States to have occupied Gaza and Judea and Samaria between 1948 and 1967—still seem to be bucking at announcing their readiness to negotiate with Israel on Trump’s deal.

Trump will seemingly not release the final details of his deal unless he first has Arab assurances to bona fide negotiate with Israel in translating those details into binding commitments to end the long-running conflict. 

Trump will not release his deal only to find it is dead in the water because no Arab negotiators will sit down with Israel.

Trump is interested in winning—not losing before he even jumps out of the starting gate.

Trump will need to now be satisfied that any new Israeli Prime Minister possesses the same views as Netanyahu on the issues Trump has already identified as integral elements of his deal:

• extending Israeli sovereignty to Jewish towns and villages in Judea and Samaria,
• declaring Jerusalem to be Israel’s eternal capital
• recognising Israeli sovereignty in the Golan Heights

Trump will now also need to be assured that any new Israeli Prime Minister will not call on Trump to renew America’s payments to UNRWA and UNESCO, to reopen the PLO Embassy in Washington or resume funding to the PLO.

Netanyahu’s uncertain political future—and the absence of Arab negotiators ready to stand up and be counted— could see Trump’s deal being put on the political backburner until Trump’s bid for re-election for another four years is known on November 3,  2020.

Knifing Netanyahu introduces yet another wild card that could delay peace between Arabs and Jews—leaving the failed leadership of the PLO cheering and heaving huge sighs of relief.

 Author’s note: The cartoon — commissioned exclusively for this article — is by Yaakov Kirschen aka “Dry Bones”- one of Israel’s foremost political and social commentators — whose cartoons have graced the columns of Israeli and international media publications for decades. His cartoons can be viewed at Drybonesblog