Less Pollution, Smaller Footprint
The panic following the catastrophic meltdown of the nuclear power in Chernobyl in April 1986 resulted in nearly 400 fewer nuclear power plants being built than had been projected. Fewer clean nuclear power plants led to an increased air pollution from fossil fuel fired plants. That extra air pollution killed far more people than the meltdown, by several orders of magnitude.
Using air pollution data derived from satellite observations, economists find that bringing a reactor online significantly reduces the fine particulate air pollution around the nearest cities. The economists state that construction of each additional nuclear power plant, by reducing air pollution, could save more than 800,000 life years. (7)
Calculations suggest that globally, more than 318 million expected life years have been lost in democratic countries after Chernobyl. Estimates predict the US lost 141 million life years due to the slowdown in nuclear power deployment after Chernobyl.
Two other studies present a strong case for nuclear. Air pollution would increase if all nuclear plants in the US are shut down, as coal and natural gas plants would step up to fill the gap. This would result in an additional 5,200 deaths in just one year. (8)
One research team showed how nuclear plant shutdowns could cause thousands of pollution related deaths; another found nuclear has the least environmental impact among low carbon energy sources.
The other study finds that nuclear is the winner in terms of land use and related environmental impact compared to other carbon free energy sources. It could supply the entire world with zero emission energy from an area half the size of the state of Vermont. (9)
China Has an Edge
China currently operates 55 reactors and accounts for 22 of the 58 reactors under construction.
China’s technological lead is significant. Western countries aren’t expected to start bringing their own fourth generation nuclear plants on-line until the early 2030s.
Fourth generation reactors are defined by an international consortium of nuclear countries as having more effective safety features, more fuel-efficient technology and produce less nuclear waste.
In another example, China’s demo reactor could breed nuclear fuel from rare earth waste. After a half-century hiatus, thorium has returned to the front line of nuclear power research as a source of fuel. In 2025, China plans to start building a demonstration thorium-based molten salt reactor in the Gobi Desert. It’s scheduled to be operational by 2030. (10)
The attraction of thorium is that it can help achieve energy self-sufficiency by reducing dependence on uranium, particularly for countries such as India with enormous thorium reserves. But China may source it is a different way. The element is a waste product of China’s huge rare earth mining industry. Harnessing it would provide a practically inexhaustible supply of fuel.