From a financial standpoint, cooperation makes sense for both Greenland and Denmark. Denmark currently sends roughly $3.4 billion annually to support Greenland’s population of 56,000. Neither Denmark nor Greenland has the technology or capital to exploit the island’s vast mineral wealth or to develop the defensive infrastructure the region demands.
A straightforward agreement could benefit all parties: the United States gains access to unused land for missile defense and strategic installations, along with rights to mine and process Greenland’s abundant resources. Greenland receives substantial compensation. Denmark offsets or eliminates its multibillion-dollar subsidy. America strengthens its national security and reduces dependence on foreign minerals. Everyone wins…except China.
Greenland’s mineral riches, combined with its unmatched geographic position, make it indispensable for Arctic defense, power projection, monitoring rival activity, and securing emerging shipping routes. Control of Greenland’s strategic landscape allows the United States to counter Russia’s militarization of the Arctic and China’s growing influence in the region.
But Greenland’s importance does not justify reckless action. The island is part of Denmark, a sovereign European nation and NATO ally. President Trump understands this, which is why, despite his forceful rhetoric, he is not going to use military force to secure Greenlandic access. Constitutionally, Denmark must consent to any agreement, and that consent must take the form of a treaty ratified by two-thirds of the U.S. Senate. With the Senate’s current composition, that threshold is unlikely.
Which is why the 2026 midterms matter. President Trump can negotiate the framework, but ultimately the Senate must approve the deal. To secure that supermajority, he will need not only a strong Republican showing but also a handful of Democrats willing to acknowledge that this is a once‑in‑a‑generation opportunity.