Any time I mention the Congressional Budget Office, it's important to say this: Their "nonpartisan" projections are basically wild guesses, and to the extent they reflect the scoring of a spending bill proposed by Congress, they are always garbage-in-garbage-out projections based on numbers they are given by politicians. So I have argued many times that you can't cite a CBO report and act like it's gospel truth, and I won't make that claim about this one either.
