In general, revolutions and/or civil wars are planned, but all have an element of spontaneity. Some are easier to formulate than others, but our situation has many faces with many false flags, false allies, and roads to nowhere. It is difficult to know what is real and what is a ruse.
A civil war is when two factions fight against each other that may or may not be aimed at the government. A revolution is when a group demands an overthrow of the government in favor of forming a new system of government.