Frank Bosse puts the spotlight on a global warming forecast published by British Met Office scientists in 2007. It appeared in Science. The peer-reviewed paper was authored by Doug M. Smith and colleagues under the title: “Improved Surface Temperature Prediction for the Coming Decade from a Global Climate Model“. Using sophisticated methods, the target of the paper was to forecast the temperature development from 2004 to 2014 while taking internal variability into account. Now that it’s 2014 and the observed data are in, we can compare to see how Smith et al did with their forecast. Boy, did they fail! --Pierre Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, 24 June 2014