Daily Caller Now Cassandra Calling Out Trump 2020 Election Defeat

“Biden has consistently led Trump in both national and battleground polls, and voters have widely disapproved of his handling of the ongoing coronavirus pandemic. Further, Trump’s approval among two critical voting blocs — seniors and suburban women — has plummeted, allowing Biden to pull ahead in swing states that the president won four years ago. “Politics remains a game of addition. You either broaden your base or turn it out in greater numbers,” Bruce Mehlman, a Republican strategist who has provided quarterly in-depth analyses of presidential races for years, told the Daily Caller News Foundation. “President Trump has never really tried to expand beyond his core supporters,” he said.

“Eighty-eight days out from the general election, likely Democratic nominee Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by an average of 7.8 points, according to Five Thirty Eight. “In Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania — the three upper midwestern states that sealed Trump’s victory over Hillary Clinton in 2016 — Trump trails Biden among senior voters by 20 points, 30 points and 11 points, respectively, polls show. Four years ago, he won the group by one point, four points and 10 points in each state, exit polls show. “According to FiveThirtyEight, Americans have also disapproved of Trump’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic, which has disproportionately affected seniors as well. “And, as Trump caters to his base, the president has weakened his standing in Republican-leaning states like Arizona, Texas and Georgia, where rapidly expanding suburban areas have created opportunities for Democrats to win electorally, polls show.

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“Meanwhile, the pandemic, which has infected almost 8 million and killed approximately 215,000 Americans, has been a focus of the election. (Daily Caller) “He makes it hard for himself,” J. Miles Coleman said. “A good debate performance could have helped reset the tone, but it didn’t. He was also given a gift with the Supreme Court [vacancy], but that turned into a super-spreader event, which brought people’s focus back to the virus.” “Trump’s withdrawal from the second debate also hurt his reelection chances, according to The Washington post. The second two debates were his most notable chances to improve his standing against Biden and deliver his message to Americans of both parties, the Post reported, but instead he cut his opportunities to narrow Biden’s lead over him in half. “Trump called the second debate a “waste of time” after it was switched to a virtual format due to his coronavirus infection. The Commission on Presidential Debates ultimately canceled the event. “I’m not going to say he has no chance,” Coleman said, “but short of any earth-shattering events, there’s not too much that can change where the race is now.”

“At this point four years ago, Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton led Trump by 7.5 points, according to Five Thirty Eight, almost mirroring Biden’s own lead now. (Daily Caller) “The similar margins, however, do not necessarily mean that this year’s election will play out like it did in 2016. Biden has held a much larger and more consistent lead – at times nearly 10 points – over the past few months than Clinton did in 2016, Five Thirty Eight’s polls show. “Further, Trump’s own approval rating has slipped due to his responses to the coronavirus pandemic and ongoing protests over racial inequality and police brutality, which both faced disapproval from a majority of Americans. “The increased reliance on mail-in voting has also made it harder to predict the outcome of the election. Rejected ballots could cost Democrats up to two points in some states, according to a report by forecaster Dave Wasserman, in addition to the fact Biden’s supporters are more inclined to vote by mail than Trump supporters and feel less comfortable voting in person, a recent Monmouth poll shows. “Conversely, Trump’s repeated attacks on mail-in voting has risked depressing GOP turnout heading into the election, The Washington Post reported in July. “It’s a problem. The president has oversimplified the issue to criticize the method of voting, rather than the way it’s done. The details matter,” a Republican strategist told The Washington Post.”

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