As far as the investigation has concluded thus far, this tragedy appears to have been the result of a grass fire in dry conditions with winds gusting up to 100 kms/hr. Such fires have been observed travelling across land at 25 km/h, in the extreme. An untrained adult can run ~17-24 kms/hr. Fit infanteers often hit ~24–32 km/h.
The initial cause of the fire is still undetermined. In accordance with DAOD 4007-1, Reporting and Investigation of Fires and Incidents, a detailed report that covers origin, cause, contributing factors and property loss is required within 30 days.
Four CAF members killed at CFB Wainwright named at today's press conference. Maj.-Gen. Rutland also stated they do not believe it resulted from oil and gas infrastructure or any outside interference. This contradicts some earlier unconfirmed reports of a live-fire round hitting a gas line or well. There is no indication of terrorism. As far as the investigation has concluded thus far, this tragedy appears to have been the result of a grass fire in dry conditions with winds gusting up to 100 kms/hr. Such fires have been observed travelling across land at 25 km/h, in the extreme. An untrained adult can run ~17-24 kms/hr. Fit infanteers often hit ~24–32 km/h. The initial cause of the fire is still undetermined. In accordance with DAOD 4007-1, Reporting and Investigation of Fires and Incidents, a detailed report that covers origin, cause, contributing factors and property loss is required within 30 days.
— Jeff Evely - the Magnanimous GenX'er Male (@JeffEvely)October 19, 2026