When monkeypox was emerging as a disease of note I wrote an article to develop an understanding of its threat (read Understand Monkeypox Before They Turn It Into Fear Porn). Although authorities have tried to leverage the disease into a fear campaign they have not succeeded except possibly in the gay community. Having the same transmission pathway as HIV, it will likely have the same epidemiological profile except it doesn’t pose the same threat of harm and death.
The Monkeypox Genome
A friend sent me a link to a genome database that includes monkeypox. Scientists use such data to study the relationship between the variants of a virus caused by mutations. Here is the chart.
Source: Genomic epidemiology of monkeypox virus
The small number of cases analyzed compared to SARS-CoV-2 in part explains the relative short history of variants. It is curious that Canada has a relatively large representation of cases (represented by the size of the circle) compared to much of the rest of the world.
For more information on monkeypox, read Monkeypox Virus: Facts Vs Fear.
Case Numbers and Deaths
BNO News which had been tracking it, posted their final tally of cases and deaths on June 11. At that time, 1,620 cases with 0 deaths were reported.
The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) have created an interactive 2022 U.S. Map & Case Count application. As of July 25, US case counts, as seen below:, are showing an early exponential rise among the susceptible population, primarily male homosexuals (read How it Spreads and WHO Chief Advises Reducing Sex Partners to Avoid Monkeypox).
The WHO response is puzzling when the annual death rate from the flu virus in the US alone is 12,000 – 52,000 (CDC) and they don’t declare it a health emergency.
Conclusion
The health authorities have to be given credit for trying to make this into a global crisis. However, to put it into perspective, when was the last time you gave any thought to HIV and AIDS, the disease associated with it? You should spend even less time and worry thinking about monkeypox.
Finally, if you decide to take the monkeypox vaccine, keep in mind it can have serious side effects, and the risk of injury or death from it may be greater than the risk from the virus itself.
Ian is a retired information technologist. While working at Health Canada he completed a BCS degree with highest honours at Carleton University in 1999. In 1998 he took a leave of absence from the federal government and worked as a consultant to Ontario Hydro Nuclear for 15 months in Y2K risk management. He retired from the government in 2000, went on to earn an MCS degree at Carleton, 2002, and subsequently completed the requirements for a PhD except for a dissertation.
Several years of graduate studies have equipped him to do thorough background research and analysis on topics he finds engaging. He is owner of the eclectic blog, The POOG. The acronym “POOG” came from a forgotten source: “pissed-off old guy”. A web search found a more flattering but accurate association: ”The mightiest of all men. He fights ignorant darkness in the name of wisdom, truth, courage, and honor.”
