To support the idea that two-parent families are outdated, Democrats have attempted to replace that stability with paid family leave, childcare subsidies, progressive education policies, and gender-neutral initiatives.
It’s not working; families are seeing through the lies.
The data on family migration renders the ideological argument moot. Between 2019 and 2024, approximately 840,000 married families with children relocated from blue states to red states, while about 470,000 families moved in the opposite direction. As a result, red states gained a net total of 370,000 families and approximately 600,000 children.
Looking more deeply, since 2008, a total of 713,000 married families with children have moved from blue states to red states over 16 years.
California has lost hundreds of thousands of residents each year since 2020. New York has the highest net domestic migration loss in the country, with 1.1 million people leaving since 2020, accounting for 5.5 percent of the state's total population. The five states with the largest outbound migration from July 2024 to July 2025—California, New York, Illinois, New Jersey, and Massachusetts—together lost a total of 477,000 residents in just 12 months.
Where are they heading? North Carolina, Texas, South Carolina, Tennessee, Florida, and Arizona. All red states.
During the same period, 2019-2024, marriage rates among prime-age adults increased by 1.8 percentage points in red states, while they decreased in blue states. Fertility rates declined across the board, but the drop was more significant in blue states.
Researchers Brad Wilcox and Grant Bailey wrote that "There is a 'Great American Family Sort' unfolding where Americans are increasingly likely to get married and have and raise their kids in Red America."
The left's efforts to dismantle traditional American family life have resulted in states where housing costs are so high that young couples cannot afford to have children.