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The most important weather forecast in history

The Weather Forecast That Saved D-Day


By Guest Column Dr. Benny Peiser——--June 6, 2014

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In memory of my father Hans who, in 1944, took part in the liberation of Europe with the Royal Engineers in the Italian Campaign. --Benny Peiser The outcome of D-Day was decided not on the beaches of Normandy, but by weather systems in the mid-Atlantic and the ability of rival teams of meteorologists to interpret the forces of nature. The Americans were confident in long-range five-day forecasts. The British were sceptical, believing they could forecast only two days ahead at best. The teams clashed repeatedly. --Simon Pearson, The Times, 2 June 2014
Years of detailed planning went into the D-Day invasion on June 6, 1944, but success hinged on one element that no military commander could control—the weather. In the days leading up to the invasion, Allied meteorologists delivered the most important weather forecast in history. If they got it wrong the Allies might have lost tens of thousands of men and World War II might have been lost forever. --Christopher Klein, History, 4 June 2014 Professor Anthony Kelly CBE FREng FRS died on 3 June 2014 aged 85. He is regarded by many as the father of composite materials in the UK. He was a scientist of the old school, who took ‘Nullius in verba’ as a matter of daily practice. He was properly sceptical until the real world data confirmed his or others’ ideas. He was not impressed by the modern tendency to use incomplete data to weave elaborate stories that could be undone by hard data, or worse, were not capable of falsification. He spent his later years as a critic of some aspects of climate science where the consequential actions seemed to him to be doing more harm than good to humanity. --Michael J Kelly, 5 June 2014

This paper aims to show that the measures currently being taken to reduce emissions of carbon dioxide from fossil fuels are directly harming the poor, both in the developing and in the developed world. The changes imposed thus far have not dealt with the risks of climate change through a sensible, steady and sustained improvement in energy and other technologies and have therefore failed to address the problems of the here and now, of which the abject poverty of large numbers of people is perhaps the most pressing. In this, the consequences of the Kyoto Protocol have been immoral. --Anthony Kelly, The Global Warming Policy, 6 June 2014 Full Paper (PDF)
  1. The Weather Forecast That Saved D-Day - History, 4 June 2014
  2. D-Day: The Sceptical Meteorologists Who Surprised The Nazis By Saying ‘Yes’ To June 6 - The Times, 2 June 2014
  3. Professor Anthony Kelly (1929-2014) - The Global Warming Policy Foundation, 5 June 2014
  4. Tony Kelly’s Final Paper: Climate Policy And The Poor - The Global Warming Policy, 6 June 2014

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Guest Column——

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