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Ontario’s One Cylinder Economy: Housing in Toronto and Weak Business Investment

Toronto housing boom driving economic growth in Ontario; masks weak business investment


TORONTO—Weak business investment in Ontario has the provincial economy increasingly dependent on Toronto’s housing market for growth, leaving the province especially vulnerable if the market slows, finds a new study released today by the Fraser Institute, an independent, non-partisan Canadian public policy think-tank. “Toronto’s hot housing market is the one leg propping up Ontario’s otherwise weak and vulnerable economy, making the spectre of a possible housing bubble burst or even just a slowdown all the more worrying,” said Philip Cross, former chief economic analyst for Statistics Canada and author of Ontario’s One Cylinder Economy: Housing in Toronto and Weak Business Investment. The study finds that housing—both homebuilding costs and record high prices—accounted for more than a quarter (29.0 per cent) of Ontario’s economic growth in 2016.
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