Hidden in all the predictions of Republicans capturing the House of Representatives and perhaps, also, the Senate, and winning key gubernatorial races is the coming victory of Republicans in state legislative races this November. It is easy to follow Senate and gubernatorial races – they are few in number and have large polling samples. Lots of people care who wins these races. Analyses of House races are more difficult, because of the sheer number of races and also because of the impact of oddly shaped congressional districts. But professional pundits still study swing districts and can estimate gains fairly closely.
