By Dan Calabrese ——Bio and Archives--September 14, 2016
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Clinton's odds were at 72% Friday but dropped two percentage points following her comments Friday that you can put "half" of Donald Trump's supporters into a "basket of deplorables" -- people who are racist, sexist, homophobic or xenophobic. However, a more significant drop came later, as fallout over her "deplorables" comment escalated and video of Clinton stumbling emerged. Her campaign said she is battling pneumonia. CNN's Political Prediction Market is an online game administered by the company Pivit, which functions like an online market and allows Internet users to predict the outcome of the election. It is not to be confused with polls from real voters.
Clinton's odds of winning the presidency fell from 70% to 65% late Sunday morning upon abruptly leaving a September 11 memorial event after feeling "overheated," according to her campaign. Video later revealed Clinton's wobbly exit out of the event at Ground Zero and her campaign announced Sunday evening that the Democratic nominee is battling pneumonia. Clinton's numbers dropped to 62% by Sunday night and fell further to 58% Monday afternoon, as the Trump campaign slammed her for her "deplorables" comment.It's not as if Trump soared into a 10-point lead in the polls over the weekend. In most polls he's still trailing, although not by nearly as much as he was. But what people saw this weekend was stark and undeniable evidence of what we've told you here for years - that Hillary is a terrible candidate. Whether it was the "deplorables" comment on Friday night or the lying about the health issue on Sunday, she looked sloppy, shrill and totally untrustworthy. This is Hillary's intractable problem: Anyone who pays close attention to her knows that she always acts like this. She didn't just have a bad weekend. She had a normal weekend and for once people noticed. This is who she really is. She says insane things. She lies about everything. Her ideas are terrible. She's corrupt. She's shrill. She's not really very smart. Because these things received so much coverage, a lot of people who just assumed she was the obvious choice over the raving lunatic (or so they'd been led to believe) Donald Trump actually saw a side of her that troubled them, and suddenly her odds of winning are sinking like a stone. And I don't know how she recovers from that because people didn't just see a moment in time that will soon fade. They saw who she really is. And they don't like it. Nor should they. There's nothing to like.
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