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Global Warming Standstill May Last For 20 Years

Met Office Forecasts No Global Temperature Rise

By Dr. Benny Peiser —— Bio and Archives--January 7, 2013

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The UK Met Office has revised its global temperature predictions as a result of a new version of its climate model and climate simulations using it. It now believes that global temperatures up to 2017 will most likely be 0.43 deg C above the 1971 -2000 average, with an error of +/- 0.15 deg C. In reality this is a forecast of no increase in global temperatures above current levels. If the latest Met Office prediction is correct, and it accords far more closely with the observed data than previous predictions, then it will prove to be a lesson in humility. It will show that the previous predictions that were given so confidently as advice to the UK government and so unquestioningly accepted by the media, were wrong, and that the so-called sceptics who were derided for questioning them were actually on the right track.—David Whitehouse, The Global Warming Policy Foundation, 7 January 2013

I argue that the greenhouse effect does not seem to be as significant as suggested. I personally feel that the likelihood over the next century of greenhouse warming reaching magnitudes comparable to natural variability seems small. And I certainly feel that there is time and need for research before making major policy decisions. It seems to me that if science doesn’t have integrity, it isn’t of much use to people.—Richard Lindzen, MIT Talk,  27 September 1989

The stupidest international agreement since the Treaty of Versailles expired at midnight on New Year’s Eve. Fifteen years after its launch, the Kyoto Protocol to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change died a miserable failure. Few are likely to mourn. In Britain, however, the Government remains wedded to a post-Kyoto strategy, and along with the rest of the EU has agreed to ‘extend’ the treaty’s provisions. British policy, enshrined in the current Energy Bill, is being driven not by evidence but by irrational dogma, and to question it is to be accused of endangering the planet. In reality, a disaster of a different kind looms: years of chronic impoverishment while competitors roar ahead and world CO2 emissions rise unchecked. Welcome to the British industrial counter-revolution.—David Rose, Mail on Sunday, 6 January 2013

Not that anyone has noticed, but the Kyoto Protocol expired on 31 December, with carbon emissions up by 58% over 1990 levels – instead the 5% cut the signatories envisaged. All that fuss for worse-than-nothing. Kyoto has not been replaced, because a new era of climate change rationalism is slowly taking root. As Nigel Lawson predicted, the hysteria of the last few years is cooling. There’s no point legislating for change that’s not going to happen.—Fraser Nelson, The Spectator, 6 January 2013

Did you know that the Earth is getting greener, quite literally? Satellites are now confirming that the amount of green vegetation on the planet has been increasing for three decades. This will be news to those accustomed to alarming tales about deforestation, overdevelopment and ecosystem destruction. —Matt Ridley, The Wall Street Journal[Registration Required], 5 January 2013

Guest Column Dr. Benny Peiser -- Bio and Archives | Comments

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