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Ugh

Trump admin will extend Iran nuclear deal - continue Iranian sanciton relief ...for now



Thanks to my earlier opinions on the nascent DACA deal, and judging by my inbox, Trump fans are already none to please with me today. So why not make it a double? From the "don't shoot the messenger file" comes word that the Trump admin is set to extend the sanction relief implemented by President Obama's "Iran nuclear deal." Ugh.
The news comes to us from both Reuters and ABC News. First up, let's take a look at ABC's report:
The Trump administration is set to sign off on a new round of waivers of sanctions against Iran that will keep the U.S. in compliance with the Iran nuclear deal as the president determines what to do next, multiple sources tell ABC News. Trump faces a deadline today when the U.S. must waive sanctions against Iran or let them snap back into place, violating the nuclear agreement and likely destroying it. The White House has yet to publicly announce a decision on what it will do while a vocal campaign including by top former Obama administration officials has been calling on the president to stay in the deal. The sanctions waivers are one of America's obligations under the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA, which offered Iran relief from crippling international sanctions in exchange for inspections of its nuclear facilities and limits on its nuclear capabilities.
And here's the word from Reuters:

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The United States on Thursday will announce that it will extend wide sanctions relief for Iran under the 2015 nuclear deal, sources familiar with the matter said, but no decision on whether to preserve the deal itself has yet been made. The United States will renew a waiver of the key, and most punitive, sanctions that it imposed on Iran before the nuclear deal was ultimately struck, the sources said.
Yes, Iran will continue to enjoy the protections that were granted to it by the Obama administration. ..At least for now. There's a bit of a catch here, and if you're hoping to see this deal end, it will offer a glimmer of hope. Every 90 days, the President must certify to Congress that Iran is complying with the deal. The next deadline is October 14th. This certification, which is not part of the deal itself, exists under U.S. law and - if the administration refuses to testify that Iran is living up to its end of the deal - could derail the whole thing.
In a speech last week, U.S. ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley laid out how and why the administration might decertify the agreement, citing Iran’s other malign activities like support for terrorism. She said, however, that it was ultimately up to the president. If the president decides by the Oct. 14 deadline to decertify the Iran deal, it would kick off a 60-day period in which Congress must decide whether to reinstate sanctions on Iran by a simple majority vote. But reinstating sanctions would violate the U.S.'s terms -- and effectively tear up the agreement.

Given what a train wreck the current GOP congress has been, and considering their extant re-election issues, it's unlikely that they'd want to stick their necks out for the mullahs. That means, if the President really wants to put the kibosh on Obama and Kerry's folly, he probably can. According to both ABC and Reuters' sources, that decision has yet to be made. That's odd, because this...


and this.... and this... ...would seem to suggest that his mind was already made up.

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