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Weather Rock December 2009

Greetings from ‘the Weather Rock’,



Well. What’s the old saying?....better late than never….I don’t know about the better part, but the cold is finally here and we also got about 2+ inches of snow, this morning (Sat. the 5th), at the orchard, with a promise of no rain to wash it away and about 22 degrees, tonight. Now it starts!....with one Winter storm after another coming from the West over the next few weeks….and lots of cold.

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When we get through with this, December will probably be the coldest & wettest in 10 to 20 years!! My records here at the orchard show us already to be about 13 inches above normal. The only difference in the pattern will be the cold. Now, I have underestimated the rain all year and there doesn’t seem to be a letup in sight….I hope I am not underestimating the cold too. I don’t see any extremes coming (don’t hold me to that….I’m just an amateur..right? LOL) but there is an indication that the cold levels will be below normal and a lot of them….more than we are used to over the last 20 years or so. I do think that ‘below zero’ will be a more frequent visitor to us, this winter….but….I am not sure about us,in the Southeast, and I have no indication of how much or how often….we’ll just have to be surprised. We had some nice October weather….in November!!LOL….and what goes up….MUST go down. Am I predicting a White Christmas?....Yes, I am. The odds are much better this year!....I love snow!,….but you knew that. It’s going to be colder, wetter, and snowier, than average, this month. There has been a big shake-up in Manmade Global Warming camp….I told you they have been ‘cooking’ the books (It’s being called Climategate and it’s full of revelations about their dishonesty…..”Oh Al, I’m so disappointed in you!”). Someone let the cat out of the bag last week (their e-mails to each other), and it seems they have been less that upfront and scientific….I’m SHOCKED….but….Didn’t I tell you that 3 or 4 years ago? (and I’ve known for almost FIFTEEN, yes, 15 years)….but you know those silly politicians….you can’t tell them a thing….AND….still, NO SUNSPOTS….we’ll that actually wrong, we had 4.2 spots last month….but that’s a long way from 50 to 150 that we normally get each month…A LONG WAY!!!! Finally NASA’s solar website released this statement, this week….
SOLAR MINIMUM: The sun is in the pits of a very deep solar minimum. Many researchers thought the sunspot cycle had hit bottom in 2008 when the sun was blank 73% of the time. Not so. 2009 is on the verge of going even lower. So far this year, the sun has been blank 75% of the time, and only a serious outbreak of sunspots over the next few weeks will prevent 2009 from becoming the quietest year in a century. Solar minimum continues
Now this 73% and 75% assumes the folks during the ‘little ice age’ (1300-1850) and other minimums, when they could see NO sunspots (100% lack of spots), could see what they can only now see with modern telescopes. Most of the current spots can only be seen with a telescope. Don’t forget, sunspot minimums are between every 11-year sunspot cycle. They usually last 14 months. This minimum is into its fourth year….that’s abnormal. ….and here is a graph, from the Greenland Ice Cores and the Antarctic (Vostoc) Ice Cores. image Source Copy and paste preceding link, it is a great article about the graph and how the last 5000 years have gone. The spaces between the green vertical lines are cold spells (with sunspot minimums)….’the little ice age’, ‘the dark ages’.etc. The thin line with the arrow shows the decline in temps over the past 3500 years as we procede from warm-up to warm-up. As you can plainly see, the preceding warm-ups were warmer than now (again I say…..”where were the cars?!?”)….and since temperatures HAVE BEEN DECLINING since 1999 (though no one can predict the future)….it looks like were in for a bit of cold weather!....just….How much?....I don’t know. I’ll try to keep you informed. Meanwhile, demand answers from our elected officials!!!!!!....and CO2 has NOT one thing to do with it! The only thing CO2 does is make things grow better, period. It has nothing to do with the temperature rise between 1850 and 1999; anymore than it did during the last 500,000 years of iceages and interglacials….Today, Dec. 7, 2009, the EPA has declared CO2, a DANGEROUS greenhouse gas….well….hold your breath, the 7 billion folks on this planet exhale it every second From a questioning Weather Rock that is wet, cold, and gloomy… ……with more on the way! Jack Bailey can be reached at: smokiesmountainview@yahoo.com


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